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Europe’s $1 Trillion Race to Build Back Its Defense Industry
Facing Russian aggression and a split with the U.S., Europe is churning out the weapons it needs to arm itself independently. It has a way to go.
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Mykola Bielieskov
Trump has made a big diplomacy error – the Ukraine proposal proves it
The White House has arranged its foreign relations in such a way that Putin doesn’t fear negative consequences
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European Union funding: Ukraine's finances face uncertain future
Putin spoke hours after the European Union announced it would loan more than 105 billion dollars to Ukraine for the next two years. But the funds will not be backed by Russian assets that are frozen in European banks. Ukraine's President Volodymyr Zelenskyy has warned that his country needs money to produce enough drones - one of its main weapons in its battle against Russia. Al Jazeera’s Audrey MacAlpine reports from Kyiv.
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Ukraine’s war effort hangs on EU vote to use frozen Russian assets to fund defence
European leaders are due to attend a crucial summit later on Thursday, to decide whether to use frozen Russian assets to support Ukraine's defence. Moscow says the move would be provocative and has launched legal proceedings to block it. Al Jazeera’s Audrey MacAlpine reports on what access to the money might mean for Ukraine.
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Mykola Bielieskov
Ukraine’s kill zone: How drones ended trench warfare
Abandon ideas of World War I — drones have turned the front lines into a different kind of hellscape.
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Mykola Bielieskov
Guerre en Ukraine : récit et enjeux de la chute de Pokrovsk, bientôt aux mains des Russes
Pour comprendre les ressorts de cette bataille, et les conséquences de son issue qui approche, « Le Monde » s’appuie sur des images authentifiées des combats et a interrogé Mykola Bielieskov, chercheur au National Institute for Strategic Studies et analyste pour la fondation de soutien de l’armée ukrainienne Come Back Alive.
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Mykola Bielieskov
As Pokrovsk is set to fall, Ukraine must choose to fight or save troops
Pokrovsk has been a bastion of resistance, and Russia taking it would be a propaganda win, but experts say it is time to withdraw and save lives for future battles.
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Mykola Bielieskov
Surrender to save yourselves, Russia urges Ukrainian troops squeezed in key city
Putin's forces have been battling to take Pokrovsk for more than a year, but now appear on the verge of a breakthrough with the front lines in the city increasingly blurred.
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Mykola Bielieskov
Nearly a year on, Ukraine army's shift to corps command struggles to deliver
Ukraine's move to a corps-based command structure aimed to boost military efficiency. Almost a year later, the promised improvements remain out of reach.
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Mykola Bielieskov
Mykola Bielieskov on Ukraine War Equation: Small Shifts, Same Deadlock
The war equation has shifted slightly — the U.S. has gone from backer to mediator — but the fundamental problem persists, as Europe remains stuck in crisis management and Putin sees no reason to stop.
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Mykola Bielieskov
What is the Coalition of the Willing actually willing to do in Ukraine?
French President Emmanuel Macron announced last week that 26 nations have now committed to participating in a so-called “reassurance force” to help guarantee Ukraine’s security following the end of hostilities with Russia. Macron was speaking in Paris after hosting European colleagues from the Coalition of the Willing, a grouping of countries led by Britain and France that is attempting to spearhead efforts to secure a lasting peace in Ukraine.
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Mykola Bielieskov
What Ukraine really needs from Europe is missiles that can hit Moscow
Allies are not offering real security guarantees, but a porcupine strategy could produce an agreement that lasts.
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Mykola Bielieskov
Putin wants to capture Ukraine’s crucial fortress belt without a fight
Moscow is calling on Kyiv to unilaterally withdraw from the approximately one-third of Donetsk province that remains in Ukrainian hands as part of any peace deal. In other words, Putin aims to secure territory at the negotiating table that his army has been unable to conquer in more that three and a half years of full-scale war.
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Glib Voloskyi
Ukraine vs Russia: who leads the tech battle? - with Glib Voloskyi
Why is technology playing such a decisive role in the Russia-Ukraine war? Who is ahead in technological innovation—Ukraine or Russia? How are drones reshaping the battlefield, and how might they also transform technologies of peace?
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Maria Kucherenko
“Russia’s goal is to make us fear each other” – Maria Kucherenko on Putin and the prospect of ending the war
Suspilne spoke with our Senior Analyst amid Ukraine and the international community’s efforts to draw Russia into negotiations to end the war.
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Mykola Bielieskov
Ukrainian defenses face a challenge as Russian troops make gains ahead of the Putin-Trump summit
With tactics and technology roughly equal on both sides, the Russians’ superior manpower works to their advantage, said Bielieskov, the Kyiv-based analyst.
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Mykola Bielieskov
Breakthrough unlikely at Putin-Trump meeting as US, Russia, Ukraine differ on key issues
Mykola Bielieskov, a research fellow at the National Institute for Strategic Studies and a senior analyst at Ukrainian NGO Come Back Alive, also said that "there is always a risk that Russia would try to promote its formulae of settlement."
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Oleksiy Moskalenko
What research tells us about the Ukrainian army - with Oleksiy Moskalenko
How do soldiers feel? What challenges do they face? What parts of military life do they believe aren’t working?
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Mykola Bielieskov
US ambassador: China believes it is waging a proxy war through Russia
Recent reports of growing Chinese support for the Russian war effort are fuelling renewed speculation over what Beijing is hoping to achieve in Ukraine.
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Mykola Bielieskov
Putin’s escalating air offensive is overwhelming Ukraine’s defenses
Russia’s escalating drone war is the latest chapter in an invasion that has been shaped by rapid technological development.
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Veteran department
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What These War Veterans Are Doing on Ukraine’s Basketball Courts Will Change How You See Disability
Cheerleaders, entertainers, and hundreds of fans gathered to cheer on players competing for gold at the first-ever All-Ukrainian Wheelchair Basketball Tournament for veterans. On the court, skill, talent, and fierce competition give new insight into what life with a disability can look like.
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Mykola Bielieskov
Russia hits Kyiv with deadliest attack of the year; G-7 avoids talk of Ukraine
Russia attacked multiple cities across Ukraine with 440 drones and 32 missiles, while Trump avoided committing to any new sanctions at the G-7 summit.
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Glib Voloskyi
Drones ukrainiens : «Avec une charge de 6,5 kg ça peut faire beaucoup de dégâts»
Trois ans après le début de l’invasion russe, l’Ukraine est devenue maîtresse des frappes de drones permettant d’atteindre le territoire adverse. Cette technologie, que ses spécialistes disent encore balbutiante, rend le conflit imprévisible.
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Mykola Bielieskov
Ukraine braces for expected Russian summer offensive in the east
The warnings over the offensive come as a U.S.-brokered peace process has limped along with inconclusive meetings and little concrete results.
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Mykola Bielieskov
CER podcast: Unpacking Europe: Nothing about Ukraine without Ukraine
Deputy director Ian Bond sits down with Mykola Bielieskov policy analyst at the National Institute for Strategic Studies & Senior Analyst at Come Back Alive and Olesya Khromeychuk director of the Ukrainian Institute London, to discuss the ongoing war in Ukraine and the coalition of the willing and the influence of the US on negotiations.
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Mykola Bielieskov
Selbst Selenskijs beste Argumente nutzen sich ab
Selbst mit Wladimir Putin und Donald Trump am Tisch: Vom Ukraine-Gipfel in Istanbul wäre kaum eine Entscheidung über Krieg und Frieden ausgegangen, sagt der ukrainische Analyst und Sicherheitsexperte Mykola Bielieskov.
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Mykola Bielieskov
Verhandlungen in Istanbul: Mehr Theater als Substanz?
Sanktionen oder Verhandlungen? Der ukrainische Sicherheitsexperte Mykola Bielieskov über die geplanten Gespräche in Istanbul, die Rolle der USA und die Unsicherheit Europas.
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Mykola Bielieskov
Ukraine’s efforts to develop high-tech weapons
What to expect from the peace talks proposed by Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy, and how to keep pressure on Russia – CBA Initiative Center Senior Analyst Mykola Bielieskov in an interview with DW News.
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Lawfare Daily: Ukraine Peace Negotiations with Mykola Bielieskov
Donald Trump was confident he could end Russia’s war in Ukraine in a matter of days or weeks. It’s now been more than three months since Trump’s reelection, and even a short-term ceasefire between Ukraine and Russia remains elusive.
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Mykola Bielieskov
Russia’s coming summer offensive could be deadliest of the entire war
As the US-led peace initiative continues to falter, the unfolding summer campaigning season in Ukraine promises to be among the bloodiest of the entire war, CBA Initiatives Center Senior Analyst Mykola Bielieskov wrote for the Atlantic Council.
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Is Russia’s Putin playing Trump over Ukraine peace plan, or himself?
As Washington backs away from truce talks, some observers believe Russia wants to fight on for months.
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Oleksiy Moskalenko
"I know I might not come back": the young Ukrainians enlisting early to fight Russia
Kyiv has brought in new incentives for those under 25 in an effort to repopulate the frontline as the war grinds on.
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Ukraine can stop Russia - even without Trump’s support
Ukrainian forces bent but didn't break under Russian pressure, and they can make enemy losses unsustainable.
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Mykola Bielieskov
Inside Ukraine’s Domestic Weapon Scale-Up — The Last, Best Defense Against U.S. Retreat
For Kyiv, the race to accelerate arms production capacity is especially crucial as it strives to replace the Western arms it once depended on.
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Mykola Bielieskov
A pragmatic peace plan for Ukraine
While Ukraine has agreed to an unconditional ceasefire, Russia refuses to do likewise. Instead, the Kremlin continues to make excuses and employ a range of stalling tactics in an apparent bid to drag out the negotiating process indefinitely.
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Serhii Bahlai
Inside Ukraine's desperate race to train more soldiers
Key issues in the Ukrainian military's basic training include unmotivated and "severely burnt out" instructors who often lack battlefield experience, independent inspections to assess the quality of preparations and training facility conditions, according to researchers at Come Back Alive Foundation, who studied the boot camp program in 2024.
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Maria Kucherenko
Ucrania se suma al alto el fuego parcial con Rusia y consigue a cambio mantener el suministro de inteligencia americana
“Trump se equivocó con el chantaje al que sometió a Ucrania al retirarle la información de inteligencia: fue percibido por Putin como un signo de debilidad”, dice Maria Kucherenko
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Mykola Bielieskov
Ukraine’s long-range Neptune cruise missile is a potential trump card
Russia is talking of halting energy infrastructure attacks just as Ukraine unleashes a powerful new cruise missile.
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Mykola Bielieskov
Vladimir Putin does not want peace. He wants to subjugate Ukraine.
Russian President Vladimir Putin has offered an evasive initial response to US President Donald Trump’s ceasefire proposal, backing the idea in principle while listing a series of additional demands that make any meaningful progress unlikely. Officials in Kyiv will be hoping Putin’s reluctance to embrace the US-led ceasefire initiative will help convince their American colleagues that the Kremlin dictator is not genuinely interested in ending the war.
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Glib Voloskyi
Can Ukraine Survive Without the US Military Aid?
The announcement of the suspension of US military aid to Ukraine sparked heated debate in the media. It was often presented as an unexpected blow to Ukraine's defence capabilities, but experts who closely monitor the situation note that such risks were already evident in 2023.
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Mykola Bielieskov
Trump says Ukraine doesn’t hold any cards — he’s the one snatching them
The U.S. president has single-handedly pushed Kyiv into its most perilous time since Russia’s all-out invasion began.
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Mykola Bielieskov
What’s Next for Ukraine?
The war’s underlying logic has been flipped on its head since the White House meeting between Volodymyr Zelensky and Donald Trump.
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Maria Kucherenko
As Russia’s war reaches milestone, Ukrainians count their personal losses
From missing a father’s funeral to being displaced time and again, Ukrainians remember their many struggles three years after Russia’s invasion began.
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Intense Russian attacks force Ukraine to consider pulling out of Kursk
Kyiv is trying to hang on to the territory it holds inside Russia despite fierce counterattacks by Moscow’s military.
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Ohne die USA geht es nicht
Keine Militärhilfe, keine Geheimdienstinformationen: Die USA trennen die Ukraine vorerst von essenzieller Unterstützung. Beobachter fürchten erhebliche Einbußen beim Schutz der Zivilbevölkerung.
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Mykola Bielieskov
Ukraine won't feel effect of US military aid suspension for up to 6 months, analyst says
The suspension of U.S. military aid to Ukraine will not be felt for up to six months, a Ukrainian analyst told The Associated Press on Tuesday, after the Trump administration ordered the assistance to be halted.
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Maria Kucherenko
La diplomacia de los fuertes: Ucrania se sitúa en el epicentro de un cambio de orden global impulsado por Trump
Se avanza hacia una “multipolaridad autoritaria”, un retorno a la importancia del territorio y a la “la legitimación de las esferas de influencia”, apunta Carlos Corrochano
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Without U.S. Aid, Ukraine Would Lose Some of Its Most Sophisticated Weapons
KYIV—Without U.S. military aid, Ukraine has enough weapons to keep fighting at its current pace until the summer, current and former Western officials said. After that, Kyiv could find itself short of ammunition and unable to use some of its most sophisticated weaponry.
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Glib Voloskyi
The added dangers of fighting in Ukraine when everything is visible
For centuries the “fog of war”, the inability to see through the confusion of combat, has been a given. No longer. The front lines in the war between Russia and Ukraine are now saturated with surveillance drones livestreaming video footage in real time. Everyone can see pretty much everything. Armies are having to work out how to fight on what is being called the transparent battlefield.
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Glib Voloskyi
North Korean troops in Ukraine gain battlefield experience, cementing alliance with Russia
KYIV, Ukraine (AP) — For weeks, Ukrainian troops braced for an unfamiliar enemy: North Korean soldiers sent to bolster Moscow’s forces after Ukraine launched a lightning-fast incursion and seized territory in Russia’s Kursk region over the summer.
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Mykola Bielieskov
Putin begins 2025 confident of victory as war of attrition takes toll on Ukraine
While many commentators are already speculating over the possibility of Ukraine peace talks in the coming months, there is actually very little to indicate that Russian President Vladimir Putin is interested in a negotiated settlement. Ukrainian military commanders are certainly not counting on any pause in hostilities, and are instead preparing for a fourth year of Europe’s largest war since World War II.
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Mykola Bielieskov
Ucrania afronta exhausta y llena de dudas 2025, el año clave para la guerra
A punto de entrar en su cuarto año de contienda, Kiev cierra 2024 con avances territoriales y superioridad del invasor. La victoria de Trump acerca la posibilidad de un fin negociado, pero Zelenski desconfía de Moscú
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Mykola Bielieskov
Strategicky jsme už Rusko porazili. Příští rok může nastat klid zbraní
Roste pravděpodobnost, že v roce 2025 mezi Ukrajinou a Ruskem nastane klid zbraní. Jakou bude mít podobu, jak silná bude Ukrajina a jakou bude mít podporu od svých západních spojenců – to je pořád nejasné. Do čtvrtého roku války ale vstupuje Kyjev v lepší kondici, než se na první pohled při čtení zpráv o stavu fronty může zdát.
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Oleksandr Demchenko
Without the Right to Resist: Russia’s New Nuclear Doctrine Pressures Ukraine to Surrender
On November 19, 2024, Russian President Vladimir Putin signed a decree approving a document titled “The Fundamentals of the State Policy of the Russian Federation in the Field of Nuclear Deterrence.” The decree outlines scenarios under which Russia might launch a nuclear strike, including cases of “aggression against the Russian Federation or its allies by any state supported by a nuclear power.” It also extends to large-scale non-nuclear attacks, such as those involving drones or cruise missiles.
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Maria Kucherenko
Over a year after Wagner Group leader’s death, Russian mercenaries aren’t going away
When Russian businessman Yevgeny Prigozhin was killed in an August 2023 plane crash, many analysts said his death could mark the end of the Wagner Group, the private military company he co-founded that provided thousands of Russian mercenaries for Moscow’s initiatives and other interests abroad. But more than a year later, the picture of Russian mercenary activities has only grown more complicated, researchers say.
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Mykola Bielieskov
Russia grinds deeper into Ukraine after 1,000 days of grueling war
“We’ve now returned to a period reminiscent of the war’s first months,” said Mykola Bielieskov, an analyst at the CBA Initiatives Center.
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Glib Voloskyi
100 Days of the Kursk Operation: What the US Can Do to Help Ukraine
On August 6, Ukraine launched an audacious military operation into Russia’s Kursk Oblast. One hundred days later, the Ukrainians still hold a sizeable chunk of Russian territory. How can the United States help Ukraine maintain its momentum?
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Glib Voloskyi
Thousands of North Korean troops in Russia. What does that mean for the war with Ukraine?
KYIV, Ukraine (AP) — The Biden administration said Thursday some 8,000 North Korean troops are now in Russia near Ukraine’s border and are preparing to join the fight against Ukrainian troops in coming days – a potentially serious escalation of the nearly 3-year-old war.
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Glib Voloskyi
Ukraine’s ‘victory plan’ receives mixed reactions from Western allies
The “victory plan” that Zelenskyy outlined at home and abroad includes a formal invitation for Ukraine to join NATO and permission to use Western long-range missiles to strike military targets in Russia — two steps Kyiv’s allies have been reluctant to support before.
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Mykola Bielieskov
Ukraine’s Kursk offensive proves surprise is still possible in modern war
Ukraine’s invasion of Russia is now in its second week and the sense of shock is still tangible. The Ukrainian military was able to achieve almost total surprise when it crossed the border into Russia’s Kursk Oblast on August 6. While the ultimate goals of the operation remain subject to much debate, Ukraine’s success in catching the Russians completely off-guard is a considerable accomplishment in its own right.
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Mykola Bielieskov
The state of Russia’s war on Ukraine as it nears 2024
The current fighting season is still far from over in Ukraine, but it is already clear that the war unleashed by Vladimir Putin in February 2022 will continue into the coming year. Developments on the Ukrainian battlefield in 2024 will likely depend on a number of factors including geopolitical considerations, election cycles, weapons deliveries, and the availability of ammunition.
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Mykola Bielieskov
Ukraine–NATO Relations: Closer Partnership or Membership?
The future of Ukraine–NATO relations is once again the number-one topic on the agenda for Alliance members in the lead-up to the forthcoming Vilnius Summit. The issue was just as acute 15 years ago when, at the Bucharest Summit, prospects of a Ukrainian Membership Action Plan (MAP) were discussed. The 2008 decision not to grant Ukraine a MAP is now regarded by many as a prologue to the events of 2014 and 2022.
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Mykola Bielieskov
Ukraine’s Territorial Defence Forces: The War So Far and Future Prospects
Since the beginning of the full-scale invasion, the Territorial Defence Forces have played a crucial role in thwarting Russian plans. But what does the future hold for these determined fighters?
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Future Prospects for Ukrainian Forces Fighting Along the Frontlines
The recent successes of Ukrainian forces in the Kharkiv and Kherson offensive operations has given rise to countless speculations about the future course of Ukrainian actions. It is becoming more obvious that Ukraine will do its best to exploit to the fullest extent possible this window of opportunity that has been opened by the combination of Ukraine’s skillful defense, Western aid and Russian miscalculations.
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Lessons of the Ukraine War Thus Far
The all-out Ukrainian war, waging now for seven months, has already provided several valuable lessons. Indeed, the fighting has tested various prewar ideas on military development that had been widely discussed among Ukrainian military experts before the war.