All Articles
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Article
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Analytical department
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Mykola Bielieskov
Trump has made a big diplomacy error – the Ukraine proposal proves it
The White House has arranged its foreign relations in such a way that Putin doesn’t fear negative consequences
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Research
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Analytical department
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Glib Voloskyi
Joint War Termination Strategy for the Russo-Ukrainian Conflict: An Overview of the New Research by the CBA Initiatives Center
The Russian Federation’s rigid, maximalist position – one that is incompatible with Ukraine’s minimum acceptable conditions – makes real progress in negotiations impossible. Therefore, bringing peace closer and initiating a substantive dialogue will require a change in the strategic context of the conflict.
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Media about us
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Mykola Bielieskov
Ukraine’s kill zone: How drones ended trench warfare
Abandon ideas of World War I — drones have turned the front lines into a different kind of hellscape.
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Media about us
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Mykola Bielieskov
As Pokrovsk is set to fall, Ukraine must choose to fight or save troops
Pokrovsk has been a bastion of resistance, and Russia taking it would be a propaganda win, but experts say it is time to withdraw and save lives for future battles.
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Media about us
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Mykola Bielieskov
Surrender to save yourselves, Russia urges Ukrainian troops squeezed in key city
Putin's forces have been battling to take Pokrovsk for more than a year, but now appear on the verge of a breakthrough with the front lines in the city increasingly blurred.
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Media about us
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Mykola Bielieskov
Nearly a year on, Ukraine army's shift to corps command struggles to deliver
Ukraine's move to a corps-based command structure aimed to boost military efficiency. Almost a year later, the promised improvements remain out of reach.
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Article
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Analytical department
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Mykola Bielieskov
Ukraine War Equation: Small Shifts, Same Deadlock
Mykola Bielieskov, Research Fellow at the National Institute for Strategic Studies in Kyiv and Senior Analyst at the CBA Initiatives Center, told The Baltic Sentinel that the Ukraine war equation has shifted slightly — the U.S. has gone from backer to mediator — but the fundamental problem persists, as Europe remains stuck in crisis management and Putin sees no reason to stop.
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Media about us
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Mykola Bielieskov
Mykola Bielieskov on Ukraine War Equation: Small Shifts, Same Deadlock
The war equation has shifted slightly — the U.S. has gone from backer to mediator — but the fundamental problem persists, as Europe remains stuck in crisis management and Putin sees no reason to stop.
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Article
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Analytical department
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Mykola Bielieskov
What Ukraine really needs from Europe is missiles that can hit Moscow
Allies are not offering real security guarantees, but a porcupine strategy could produce an agreement that lasts
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Media about us
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Mykola Bielieskov
What Ukraine really needs from Europe is missiles that can hit Moscow
Allies are not offering real security guarantees, but a porcupine strategy could produce an agreement that lasts.
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Analytical department
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Admin
Xi's political theater and Beijing’s insecurities
While global eyes were on missiles & VIPs at China’s Victory Parade, a smaller detail stood out: Xi Jinping’s microphones. What they symbolize says something interesting about power, image, and insecurity.
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Analytical department
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Mykola Bielieskov
"Some of our partners still do not accept that this war will determine the future world order," – Mykola Bielieskov at the Crimean Platform Forum
“Crimea is the center of gravity of this war: everything began with Crimea and must end with Crimea. Moreover, this is Russia's weakest point in this war.”
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Media about us
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Mykola Bielieskov
Putin wants to capture Ukraine’s crucial fortress belt without a fight
Moscow is calling on Kyiv to unilaterally withdraw from the approximately one-third of Donetsk province that remains in Ukrainian hands as part of any peace deal. In other words, Putin aims to secure territory at the negotiating table that his army has been unable to conquer in more that three and a half years of full-scale war.
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Media about us
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Mykola Bielieskov
Ukrainian defenses face a challenge as Russian troops make gains ahead of the Putin-Trump summit
With tactics and technology roughly equal on both sides, the Russians’ superior manpower works to their advantage, said Bielieskov, the Kyiv-based analyst.
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Article
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Analytical department
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Mykola Bielieskov
Is the Ukraine-Russia War Entering Its Deep Battle Phase?
Before assessing the current state of the Russia-Ukraine war, it’s worth revisiting some theory and history.
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Article
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Analytical department
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Mykola Bielieskov
"Trump is bluffing. And we can’t say it’s a bluff" — Belieskov on shuttle diplomacy, Ukraine’s goals, and the frontline in 2025
Suspilne TV met with CBA Initiatives Center Senior Analyst Mykola Bielieskov as Donald Trump marked his first 100 days in office, and Ukraine continued its efforts to maintain U.S. support.
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Article
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Analytical department
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Mykola Bielieskov
Ukraine can stop Russia - even without Trump’s support
Ukrainian forces bent but didn't break under Russian pressure, and they can make enemy losses unsustainable.
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Article
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Analytical department
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Mykola Bielieskov
A pragmatic peace plan for Ukraine
While Ukraine has agreed to an unconditional ceasefire, Russia refuses to do likewise. Instead, the Kremlin continues to make excuses and employ a range of stalling tactics in an apparent bid to drag out the negotiating process indefinitely.
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Article
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Analytical department
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Mykola Bielieskov
A Month of Disillusionment: How February Reshaped U.S. Policy on Ukraine and What Kyiv Can Still Hope For
February 2025 marked a turning point in U.S.-Ukraine relations. Instead of the anticipated reset, Kyiv faced a series of sobering realities—from contradictory statements by the Trump administration to a failed White House meeting.
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Article
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Analytical department
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Mykola Bielieskov
Europe must prepare to defend itself in an increasingly multipolar world
US President Donald Trump’s peace plan for Ukraine has yet to be made public, but it is already abundantly clear that he expects Europe to play a far bigger role in the continent’s future security and the fight against Russian aggression.
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Research
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Analytical department
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Glib Voloskyi
Goodbye, Neutrality: An Analysis of Swedish Military Aid to Ukraine
The Kingdom of Sweden's role in supporting Ukraine over the past decade has been both significant and transformative. Following Russia's invasion of Ukraine in 2014, Sweden actively contributed to bolstering Ukraine's Armed Forces. Initially, this support was limited to training assistance. However, the onset of the full-scale invasion in 2022 marked a dramatic expansion in the scope of aid. Sweden began providing equipment, financial military assistance, technology, and lethal weaponry.
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Research
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Analytical department
Generalization and assessment of Territorial Defense Forces application experience in 2022
This policy brief contains a succinct history of development and application of Territorial Defense Forces (TDF) during the new phase of Russian aggression after 24 February 2022.
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Research
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Analytical department
No alternative. Ukraine’s full fledged NATO membership is the only efficient security guarantee
Ukrainian partners, among them NATO members, have number of prejudices regarding Ukraine’s full fledged membership in NATO.
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Research
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Analytical department
Needles for a porcupine
The decision of Russian political-military leadership on February 24, 2022, to morph local aggression at Donbas and tensions at sea into the largest regional war in Europe since 1945 is the greatest tragedy of modern Ukraine.